La Jolla Micro Endodontics

Variable-Rate Mortgage (VRM) vs Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)

What are the Differences?

Now that rates have begun to decline again, many Canadian mortgage borrowers are considering variable interest rate options. These types of mortgages can save money in the right circumstances, but they come with risks that need careful evaluation. In Canada, variable-rate products generally fall into two categories: Variable-Rate Mortgages (VRMs) and Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs). There are differences between the features, benefits, and risks of each. In this blog post, we’ll explore the nuances of each product, how they are priced, their impact on budgeting, and the risks to consider.

Variable-Rate Mortgage (VRM)


A Variable-Rate Mortgage (VRM) has an interest rate tied to a lender’s prime rate. The prime rate fluctuates over time, based on changes to the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate. What makes VRMs unique is that while the interest rate may change, your monthly payment stays the same. That doesn’t mean that a change in rate doesn’t affect the cost of the mortgage to you. It means that the proportion of your payment allocated to principal versus interest shifts when rates fluctuate. This affects your remaining amortization on the mortgage and the overall cost of the mortgage.


How are VRMs Priced?


The rate on a VRM is based on the prime rate in Canada. A VRM rate is typically expressed as "prime minus" (e.g., Prime - 0.50%). If the lender’s prime rate is 5.95%, the VRM rate at Prime minus 0.50% would be 5.45%.

Lenders Offering VRMs include most major Canadian banks and some credit unions.


Benefits of a VRM


  • Monthly payments remain consistent, making budgeting and cash flow management simpler.
  • If interest rates drop your monthly payment stays the same but less of the payment is required to cover interest. This means that more of your payment goes toward reducing the principal balance, resulting is you paying down your mortgage faster.
  • VRMs include prepayment options with lower prepayment penalties than for fixed-rate mortgages. The prepayment penalty for a VRM is usually three months of interest.
  • VRMs usually offer the ability to switch to a fixed-rate mortgage during the term of the mortgage, if desired. This might be advisable if you think interest rates are going to increase.


Risks of a VRM


  • VRMs expose borrowers to interest rate risk. Rising rates increase the portion of your payment allocated to interest, slowing principal repayment. This will slow down how quickly you pay down your mortgage and extend the remaining amortization.
  • The risk of rising rates is masked in the short-term since the mortgage payment remains unchanged. The cost of higher rates is often not realized until later in the mortgage or at renewal when the borrower has to pay to make-up for the higher rates (i.e. higher payment on renewal or a lump sum payment).
  • One often undisclosed risk is trigger rate risk. If rates rise significantly, your payment may no longer cover the interest portion, leading to a "trigger rate" event. At this point, the lender may require an increased payment or a lump-sum payment to restore balance.


Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)


An Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) also has an interest rate tied to the lender’s prime rate, but unlike a VRM, the monthly payment changes when the prime rate changes. When rates rise, your regular payment amount increase, and when rates fall, it decreases.


How ARMs are Priced?


Like VRMs, ARMs are priced at the prime rate minus a margin. A VRM rate is typically expressed as "prime minus" (e.g., Prime - 0.50%). If the lender’s prime rate is 5.95%, the VRM rate at Prime minus 0.50% would be 5.45%.


Lenders Offering VRMs include a couple of the Canadian banks and most independent, monoline mortgage lenders.


Benefits of an ARM


  • ARMs present the opportunity for immediate costs savings if interest rates decline. If rates decline your monthly payment will also decline. While this benefits all ARM borrowers, it can be especially helpful for property investors who will experience increased cash flow as their mortgage payments decline.
  • A change in the interest rate does not affect the remaining amortization of the mortgage.
  • When rates change you see the impact on your mortgage immediately. Unlike a VRM, where you may not be aware of what a change in rates means to the cost of your mortgage, with an ARM you see this right away.
  • ARMs include prepayment options with lower prepayment penalties than for fixed-rate mortgages. The prepayment penalty for an ARM is usually three months of interest.
  • ARMs usually offer the ability to switch to a fixed-rate mortgage during the term of the mortgage, if desired. This might be advisable if you think interest rates are going to increase.


Risks of an ARM


  • ARMs expose borrowers to interest rate risk. ARM borrowers are exposed to payment volatility as interest rates change, which can strain budgets when rates increase unexpectedly.


Impact on Budgeting


A VRM allows for easier budgeting since the payment does not change. This is nice in the short-term but can lead to unanticipated costs later if rates rise materially.


An ARM demands a more adaptable budget since payment amounts can change frequently. Borrowers must be prepared for higher payments if rates rise.


With either product, rising rates will lead to an increased cost of borrowing. With an ARM that is realized immediately with higher payments. With a VRM that realization will be deferred to a later date and can be an unpleasant surprise. The rapidly rising rate environment in 2022-2023 demonstrated these costs to VRM and ARM borrowers. The choice is yours to make if you want to take a variable-rate of interest on your mortgage, but you need to assess the suitability of each product for your needs and your budget.


We caution borrowers against taking interest rate risk on their primary residence unless, within your budget, you can afford to be wrong on your expectation that rates will decline.


Choosing Between a VRM and an ARM


When deciding between a VRM and an ARM, borrowers should weigh their budget, financial stability, risk tolerance, and market conditions.


Choose a VRM if:


  • You prefer consistent monthly payments for easier budgeting.
  • You have a financial buffer to handle a trigger rate event.
  • You anticipate stable or declining interest rates in the near future.


Choose an ARM if:


  • You can handle payment fluctuations and have flexible cash flow.
  • You want to benefit immediately from potential rate drops.
  • You are able to handle the higher payments that may result from rising rates.
  • You anticipate stable or declining interest rates in the near future.


Managing Risks and Making an Informed Decision


Awareness of how a change in interest rates affects your borrowing costs is the first step in managing the risk of a VRM or ARM. Don't only consider the benefit or opportunity they present should rates fall. You need to also assess the risk of rising rates and what that can mean to your personal finances.


Regardless of the mortgage type, it’s essential to proactively manage the risks associated with variable-rate products:


Mitigating Risks


  • Stress-test your budget. Ensure you can afford payments if rates increase by 2-3%.
  • Build a financial cushion. It is always advisable to maintain an emergency fund to cover unexpected expenses or rate hikes.
  • Monitor rates closely. Stay informed about interest rate trends and economic forecasts.
  • Consider prepayments to reduce exposure. Make additional principal payments when rates are low to reduce the impact of future rate hikes.


Seeking Professional Advice


Consulting with a mortgage broker or financial advisor can help you assess your unique situation, scenario test, evaluate different products and lenders and choose the mortgage product that aligns with your financial goals.


Conclusion


Both Variable-Rate Mortgages and Adjustable-Rate Mortgages offer unique advantages and risks. While VRMs provide stable monthly payments in most scenarios, ARMs offer payment flexibility and the potential for immediate savings. However, the rapid interest rate increases from 2022 to 2023 highlighted the vulnerabilities of both products, emphasizing the need for thorough financial planning. Those who failed to account for the risks of variable-rate mortgage products, in many cases, suffered material financial stress.


Fixed-rate mortgages are more popular with risk-averse Canadian mortgage borrowers. Choosing to take interest rate risk is not for everyone. By understanding the mechanics of each mortgage type and aligning them with your financial goals and risk tolerance, you can make a well-informed decision that supports your homeownership journey.


For help with your mortgage decision and to find the best rates in the market, please contact us at Frank Mortgage. Honest advice and great rates are our specialty. Find us at www.frankmortgage.com or 1-888-850-1337

Best Mortgage Rates

Fixed
Variable
in

0.00 %

3 Year Fixed

Get Rates

0.00 %

5 Year Fixed

Get Rates
Check More Rates

About The Author

A man in a suit and striped shirt is smiling in a circle.

Don Scott

Don Scott is the founder of a challenger mortgage brokerage that is focused on improving access to mortgages. We can eliminate traditional biases and market restrictions through the use of technology to deliver a mortgage experience focused on the customer. Frankly, getting a mortgage doesn't have to be stressful.

Related Posts

A man is giving keys to a woman in a living room.
By Don Scott February 11, 2025
Purchasing an owner-occupied rental property in Canada can be a strategic way to build wealth while securing a home for yourself. But if you’re planning to put down less than 20% of the property’s purchase price, you’ll likely need mortgage default insurance. Here’s what you need to know about how mortgage default insurance works for owner-occupied rental properties.
By Don Scott January 10, 2025
What are Canadian mortgage rates going to do in 2025? We do not have a crystal ball, and the markets are sending mixed signals right now. However, we do think that more rate cuts are coming but are concerned that fixed mortgage rates are near their floor. What might all this mean? – read on. 2025 Mortgage Rate Prediction We expect variable mortgage rates to decline a further 0.50% to 0.75% in 2025. This will bring them below fixed mortgage rates for the first time since 2022. It is historically the norm for variable mortgage rates to be below fixed mortgage rates. This means five-year variable mortgage rates could be in the range of 3.6% to 4% by the end of the year. We do not expect much change in fixed mortgage rates in 2025. Bond yields have modest rate cuts already priced in and are resisting further declines. The recent steep increase in the US 10-year bond tells us that the bond market thinks central banks are wrong to cut rates further. We must pay heed to those signals since fixed mortgage rates depend on the bond market. We anticipate five-year fixed mortgage rates to range between 3.8% and 4.5% for most of the year. We can only rely on market inputs to generate our own expectations for mortgage rates in 2025. Those key inputs include: The Bank of Canada has indicated more rate cuts may be coming in 2025, but the pace and size of the cuts will be more gradual; Economists are forecasting a weakening Canadian economy. When the economy weakens, the central bank tends to cut rates to provide economic stimulus; The US Federal Reserve has stated they are in no rush to cut rates; The US 10-year bond has risen by 0.85% since the Federal Reserve began cutting rates in Sept 2024; Canadian 5-year bond yields are unchanged since August 2024 and only 0.15% lower than in mid-Jan 2024; US Federal Reserve reluctance to cut rates may limit how much the Bank of Canada can cut. When the Bank of Canada cuts rates more than the US does, it hurts the value of the Canadian dollar; and Analysts in Canada and the US expect rate cuts in 2025. There are many risks that are not priced in yet that could materialize. Economic weakness will increase the likelihood of more rate cuts and could even reduce bond yields. Economic strength will eliminate the need for rate cuts and could even lead to higher rates. There are also political and geopolitical risks that are not our place to opine on. They are difficult to predict but could significantly impact our interest rate markets in 2025, a year currently marked by uncertainty. What Happened to Mortgage Rates in 2024? The Canadian market entered 2024 with high expectations for multiple Bank of Canada interest cuts, starting as early as March or April. The cuts came a bit later than anticipated, with the first cut on June 5. We saw cuts totaling 1.75% from June through December. The last two cuts, in October and December, were consider ‘jumbo’ cuts of 0.50% (the usual cut is 0.25%). These cuts had the expected direct impact on variable-mortgage rates which dropped by the same amount. Fixed rates are ‘forward-looking’, so they move when expectations change. As the chart below shows, they dropped in anticipation of the cuts but, once the rate cuts gathered steam later in the summer, they remained relatively flat. 
By Don Scott January 2, 2025
If you’re in the market for a mortgage, one key consideration is the rate type on the mortgage you choose. Will you opt for a fixed-rate mortgage or a variable-rate mortgage? Fixed rate mortgages are the most popular but does a variable-rate mortgage make sense today, now that rates have been declining?
Share by: